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CONTENTS OF THE JULY 2003 ISSUE
Vol.71(2)
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Reinsurance Symposium Introduction par Rémi Moreau
Panorama de la réassurance alternative
Les
insuffisances de la réassurance traditionnelle
EVALUATED ARTICLES
The Demand for Reinsurance : Theory and Empirical Tests by James R. Garven and Joan Lamm Tennant
Catastrophe Risk and Insurer Solvency : A diffusion-Jump Analysis by Michael Powers and Jiandong Ren
COLUMNS
FAITS D’ACTUALITÉ
- ASSURANCES ET GESTION DES RISQUES
CHRONIQUE ACTUARIELLE
par James Greenhill
Risk Management by Thomas Holzheu, Kurt Karl, Richard Sbaschning
Grands risques par Rémi Moreau
SCOR
The Demand for Reinsurance: Theory and Empirical Tests
The comparative
statics of the model suggest that, other things equal, the demand for
reinsurance will be greater, 1) the higher the firm’s leverage, 2) the lower the
correlation between the firm’s investment returns and claims costs, 3) for firms
which write “longer tail” lines of insurance, and 4) the more the firm
concentrates its investments in tax-favored assets. These predictions are tested
in an empirical analysis of the reinsurance behavior of U.S. property-liability
insurance firms during the period 1980-1987. Acknowledgments. Earlier versions of this paper benefited substantially from helpful comments offered by a number of colleagues, including Pat Brockett, David Cummins, Neil Doherty, Henri Loubergé, and seminar participants at Baylor University, Louisiana State University, The University of Pennsylvania, the American Risk and Insurance Association, and the International Financial Management Association. The authors gratefully acknowledge the support of the Gus S. Wortham Chair at the University of Texas at Austin in making the A. M. Best data available for use in this study.
Catastrophe Risk
and Insurer Solvency: A Diffusion-Jump Analysis
In recent years, the magnitudes of realized
catastrophe (extreme-event) losses have increased dramatically. The effects of
increasing catastrophe risks on the insurance industry have been profound. In
the current private insurance market, the possibility of insurer default is of
great concern to insurers and their investors. However, there is limited
actuarial or financial theory for analyzing catastrophe insurance contracts
based upon the probability of ruin. In this article, we develop a mixed
diffusion and compound Poisson jump model of insurer net worth to reflect the
fact that insurers are faced with both non-catastrophe and catastrophe risks.
Under the assumption of exponentially distributed catastrophe losses, we derive
analytical approximations to the insurer ruin probability. Assuming constant
catastrophe loss amounts, we calculate the ruin probability numerically and
compare the results with those for exponentially distributed losses.
Panorama de la
réassurance alternative
Alternative Risk Transfer (ART) is a complement
to traditional reinsurance. It includes any financial mechanism used to
substitute for traditional risk transfer products offered by reinsurers. Today,
there is an increasing use of financial market to manage catastrophic risk or
financing commercial or industrial projects. This article first gives a global
definition of ART and then presents a panoramic view of ART’s products such as
captives, excess of loss PA&MB, risk retention management, modulated protection,
loss portfolio transfer, finite risk reinsurance, credit securitization, weather
derivatives or credit default swaps.
Les insuffisances de la réassurance traditionnelle
This article
describes the difficulties encountered by the reinsurer. The author first
reviews the current state of the reinsurance market, with an eye on the way
reinsurers have coped with its recent turbulence. He then discusses the
emergence of new products and new markets. We note that markets are setting
limits on insurable risks. How to manage these risks? How will the problems
arising from the insurance market’s meltdown be solved if traditional
reinsurance fails to respond to them?
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Last update: August 5,
2003
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